@InProceedings{CataldiTorr:2006:SoAtSS,
author = "Cataldi, Marcio and Torres Junior, Audalio Rebelo",
affiliation = "Operador Nacional do Sistema El{\'e}trico (ONS), Rua da Quitanda,
196 - Centro - Rio de Janeiro, RJ (Cataldi, Marcio) and COPPE,
Programa de Engenharia Civil, Caixa Postal 68506 - CEP 21945-970,
Rio de Janeiro, RJ (Cataldi, Marcio) and Universidade Federal do
rio de Janeiro (UFRJ), IGeo, Departamento de Meteorologia - Av,
Brigadeiro Trompovski, s/nē, Rio de Janeiro, RJ (Torres Junior,
Audalio Rebelo)",
title = "South Atlantic SST anomalies impacts on the south Brazilian region
climate through a numeric experiment with the model CAM 2.02 and
data dining techniques",
booktitle = "Proceedings...",
year = "2006",
editor = "Vera, Carolina and Nobre, Carlos",
pages = "521--532",
organization = "International Conference on Southern Hemisphere Meteorology and
Oceanography, 8. (ICSHMO).",
publisher = "American Meteorological Society (AMS)",
address = "45 Beacon Hill Road, Boston, MA, USA",
keywords = "Hidrological Variability, Global Modeling, Climate forecast.",
abstract = "The aim of this work is to evaluate the influence of the South
Atlantic Ocean (SAO) Sea Surface Temperature (SST) anomalies on
the rain regimen of the South Brazilian Region and, consequently,
in the local hydrographic basins. An analytical function based on
a combination of two Gaussian distribution in space and one
distribution in time was applied to the climatology of SST of the
Community Atmosphere Model version 2.02 (CAM 2.02) of the National
Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) in order to simulate an SAO
SST anomaly. The Gaussian analytical function was adjusted to the
February and March of 2005 observed anomaly in the SAO, on the
region near 58W and 40S where those anomalies reached 2ēC. In this
period a rain anomaly in the South Brazilian Region took place,
with pluviometric deficits of about 100 mm in the Uruguai (SC) and
Igua{\c{c}}u (PR) rivers basins. In the subsequent months the SAO
SST anomaly intensity was diminished but it was increased up in
area reaching 20S in September, persisting until October. In these
last two months the rain levels in the south region of Brazil
basins exceeded the historical values in more than 100 mm. Data
mining techniques applied to some computed indexes obtained from
the model results revealed some South Brazilian Region circulation
anomalies patterns in response to the SAO/SST anomaly forcing. The
vertical structure of the model atmosphere was strongly affected
by the forcing, the humidity and latent heat flux was augmented
and the planetary bondary layer height was shortened in the
anomaly forced region. These preliminary results emphasize the
importance of the prognostics of SST in seasonal climatic
forecast, demonstrating the need of a coupled ocean-atmophere
modeling system for this kind of forecast.",
conference-location = "Foz do Igua{\c{c}}u",
conference-year = "24-28 Apr. 2006",
language = "en",
organisation = "American Meteorological Society (AMS)",
ibi = "cptec.inpe.br/adm_conf/2005/10.31.13.35",
url = "http://urlib.net/ibi/cptec.inpe.br/adm_conf/2005/10.31.13.35",
targetfile = "521-531.pdf",
type = "Climate predictions",
urlaccessdate = "05 maio 2024"
}